There’s a modern adage:
We know what we know, and we know what we don’t know. But there’s a third category, what we don’t know that we don’t know.
What we don’t know that we don’t know
The third category are things in our blind spots. Often when I’m surprised, I suddenly realize there were important things I didn’t consider. Some of them were in the second category., but some are in the third.
Today, I’ve been extending some PeopleCount software. When I program, I know the software will do roughly what I want. And I know that I don’t know the quality of untested software.
The output of today’s work are files that initialize the database. There are about 25 issues, 100 questions and 1000 answers. This means there are about 500,000 “tallies”, for each answer, there is one tally per district. When I loaded them into the database, the connection timed out! That was in my blind spot. I didn’t know that I needed to be careful about the size of “insert” statements. (It was easy to work around- instead of having one insert statement inserting 500,000 rows, I made 10 of them, each inserting about 50,000.)
To say this a little more clearly, this third category is areas that we’re not even aware of.
What we’re blind to in politics – in Britain
The same thing happens in politics. Just look at Brexit. When Britain’s decision to leave the EU was announced, those who voted to leave were happy. But then the reports began to surface about what leaving actually meant. And two central leaders of the Brexit movement decided to bow out. Those voting to leave didn’t know that no one had thought it through and that their leaders weren’t capable of leading them.
What we’re blind to in politics – in the US
There’s a joke going around. The British and the American peoples are competing to see which are the most stupid about politics. The Brits feel pretty stupid after Brexit. But the Americans hold the Trump card.
We know Donald Trump is a sociopath and narcissist. We don’t yet know what’s in his tax returns. Nor how serious is the child-rape charge. (My guess is that respectable Republicans are hoping he goes to jail on the rape charge before taking office and Pence becomes president…)
The Republican party inflamed and enraged their members for years. They ignored their own corruption and lack of accountability and blamed everything on the Democrats. But they didn’t realize they had prepared their base to be taken over by someone even less scrupulous.
There’s plenty in that third category for partisans
Republicans think they hate Hillary Clinton. What they don’t know that they don’t know is that their hatred of her has been built for many years by Republican lies. While they think they’re standing up against evil, they don’t realize they’re being distracted from the real evil- the Republican Congress isn’t serving them.
There’s plenty for Democrats, too. Most were blind to the DNC’s bias against Bernie Sanders. Without the hack, we would have presumed that Clinton’s rise to the top of the nomination pool was a natural one. Some think had this come to light sooner, we would have a different candidate standing before us. The question remains- what secrets remain?
Where no one besides me seems to look
Most people deal with what they see as, “the way things are.” Some react against it, whether by protest-voting for Trump (or no one), or by wanting new campaign-reform laws, or just by complaining. But this is just dealing with what we know.
What we’re unaware of, what we’re blind to, is that our system can’t work. Put another way, our system is working. Given its rules, the results we’re having these days, divisiveness, congressional gridlock, anger and disunity are exactly what our system produces. As I’ve said before, real political accountability is in our blind spot. We don’t know about it, and we unaware that it’s something we don’t know.
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PS: A fair number of others are looking at some other blind spots…